Thread: Archer is a Fool!

I am a fool, Kiddo? Congratulations on your nice win, really. But let’s talk facts! My issue with Ellis is integrity. If you have any integrity you will count the wins/losses of your 31 shoes and admit that you have won more hands than you lost on a shoe to shoe basis in that set of 31 shoes. And if you post the actual numbers you will see that you have won more hands by far, not just by a little. That is the ONLY way to get those numbers. I am not doubting you got those numbers. This vindicates my statement that one ultimately must win more hands than lose to win this game. This is a no brainer. We don’t bet mostly 1 unit and sometimes 2 units and win 8-10 unit’s a shoe without winning more hands than we lose. Sure, once one has done that one can enhance with a progression. A progression does NOT make a losing method into a winning one. Ellis knows this and has explicitly said so on the public forum. So that is my challenge! Post it and prove me wrong then call me a fool!

I have not said that Ellis does not have a winning method. But it is not in the free systems. Why would I say that? I win and I know others who win and I know several methods that win. But Ellis’ “Best” method does not win. If you used this to win 31 shoes that is great but not remarkable. 31 shoes is NOT a test. I have seen methods win for 100 shoes and then break down! Furthermore, I play more shoes in a year then you have played in your entire life!

The free system is a neat stunt to get folks to pay the 500 bucks. Ellis knows that some will play and win and send him 500. But many will play and lose and won’t. So, he is just playing the percentages. I don’t know whether or not SAP FE is viable or not. But I do know that the free methods don’t win without augmentation. This is why the SAP FE exists in the first place.

The other problem I have with Ellis is his statements that the casinos orchestrate the shoe to make one lose. This is ludicrous and Ellis knows it. He might have believed this at one time, made the statement and now doesn’t know how to back out of it. But he knows it can’t be proven one way or another so he is safe. But any practical evaluation can see this is ridiculous. The casinos may, in fact, change shuffle to hopefully change outcome but there is no way to predict this. This new shoe, old shoe business is nonsense.

The other problem I have with Ellis is his confusion about Drop and Hold. That the odds of the game are significantly higher than the 1.06% on Banker and 1.24% on Player. This is a gross misrepresentation that feeds into his dogma. Think about it! In order for the odds to be much higher than this near 50-50 proposition either Player or Banker would have to win a significantly higher number of outcomes. The players would make a kill on a game like this! Look, Ellis has explained the reason that the hold is as high as it is himself! Negative progressions!!!!!! They don’t just lose 1.24%. Many lose it all! I watched a guy the other day. We were both winning. Me small units as usual, he huge units with huge bets. The shoe started to go South, we both began to lose. Me a couple small units, he lost all what he had won then made a bet of his entire buy in of $1000.00 and lost! That is where the big casino % comes in. I see it all the time. I won that shoe! As Ellis has said more than once; that’s why there is a table limit!

Finally, I have studied ECD systems for ten years. As of this date I have not seen one that he designed that has worked. Maybe he has finally got something, I don’t know because I haven’s seen the SAP FE.

Archer foolish? I think not my friend.

Archer

OOOPS. Not SAP FE anymore. Now it's Matrix! That was quick! Let's see, hmmm, Twister, SAP, SAP FE, Matrix, the hits just keep coming!

Archer

As far as the casino stacking the deck so that you lose in mini, I live near foxwoods and mohegan and they both use automatic shufflers in both casino poker rooms and both casino mini bac tables....so how can a casino stack the deck in minibac ( or poker for that matter ) to ensure that you lose ?

As a sidebar for any poker players reading this, the auto shuffler eliminated dealer cheating in poker, but it does not eliminate collusion between players sending secret signals across the table to their partners as far as what cards they are holding and also does not eliminate radioactive dye being placed on cards which can be read with special contact lenses.

Foxwoods uses 2 decks for each poker table and only changes decks every 24 hours at 4:30 AM ....which is plenty of time for someone to mark the cards with the radioactive dye and then leave the table and then signal his partner to sit down at the table to play with the special contact lenses so he can see the markings on the cards.

Foxwoods has some big games like $ 75 $150 stud and numerous big no limit games so you basically can't trust anyone once you get to the higher stakes games like $ 20 $ 40 and over limit games, and all no limit games.

A good cheating team can pick up anywhere from $ 2000 to $ 5000 a nite.

Yeah, can u imagine the complexity of arranging the miini-bacc shuffles on like 40 tables at each of those CT casinos.

The casinos likely examine shuffles. They do change fro time to time. My opinion is that the casinos want to produce as random cards as possible.

Incidentally, at Mohegan Sun they only change the cards in miini-bacc when a) the table shuts down or b) 72 hours whatever comes first.

Archer

Originally Posted by tomddxx

As far as the casino stacking the deck so that you lose in mini, I live near foxwoods and mohegan and they both use automatic shufflers in both casino poker rooms and both casino mini bac tables....so how can a casino stack the deck in minibac ( or poker for that matter ) to ensure that you lose ?

As a sidebar for any poker players reading this, the auto shuffler eliminated dealer cheating in poker, but it does not eliminate collusion between players sending secret signals across the table to their partners as far as what cards they are holding and also does not eliminate radioactive dye being placed on cards which can be read with special contact lenses.

Foxwoods uses 2 decks for each poker table and only changes decks every 24 hours at 4:30 AM ....which is plenty of time for someone to mark the cards with the radioactive dye and then leave the table and then signal his partner to sit down at the table to play with the special contact lenses so he can see the markings on the cards.

Foxwoods has some big games like $ 75 $150 stud and numerous big no limit games so you basically can't trust anyone once you get to the higher stakes games like $ 20 $ 40 and over limit games, and all no limit games.

A good cheating team can pick up anywhere from $ 2000 to $ 5000 a nite.